Advances in ecological source models based on Bayesian statistics, however, offer a solution. New models e.g. have been developed that can deal with the complexity in a quantitative way and, if tailored to specific river basin sediment data, could help us address the above challenge.
The central goal of the IMIXSED Project (Integrating isotopic techniques with Bayesian modelling for improved assessment and management of global sedimentation problems) is therefore to marry together the strengths of isotopic sediment tracer technology in the EU, with ecological source apportionment models developed by US scientists, to deliver a powerful tool to combat threats to global food and water security.
The tool will be showcased through its application in Tanzanian lake catchments and Ethiopian water-supply catchments where diffuse sediment and nutrient pollution from agriculture currently threatens food, water and, through siltation of HEP dams, energy security.